現物取引と永久先物の仕組みとリスク比較

現物取引は資産を直接保有し所有権を得ますが、永久先物は清算価格なしのデリバティブであり、資金調達率やレバレッジが追加の複雑さをもたらします。私は、資金調達率をレバレッジのコストと捉え、高金利期間中はリターンが毀損するリスクを認識しています。レバレッジは価格変動の影響を増幅させ、証拠金が維持証拠金を下回ると強制ロスカット

ハイリスクコンテンツ警告

高レバ = 高収益可能性。限界を知れ! 🔥

Translation pending: showing the source text.

Spot vs. Perpetual Futures: Mechanics and Risks

Spot trading involves buying the underlying asset directly. Perpetual futures are derivatives that track price without an expiry date. Perpetuals introduce complexity through funding rates and leverage. Understanding these mechanics is essential to avoid unexpected liquidation or losses.

Settlement and Ownership

In spot markets, you exchange one asset for another. You own the asset outright. If you hold private keys, you have custody. There is no counterparty risk regarding the asset's price movement. The only risk is exchange custody risk. Perpetual futures are contracts. You do not own the underlying asset. You are betting on price direction against the exchange's order book.

The Funding Rate Mechanism

Perpetuals have no expiry date. The market uses a funding rate to anchor the contract price to the spot price. When the perpetual price trades higher than the spot index, longs pay shorts. When it trades lower, shorts pay longs. This exchange of capital occurs periodically. It usually happens every eight hours. I view funding as a cost of leverage. If you hold a position during high funding periods, your returns erode. This happens regardless of price direction.

Leverage and Margin

Spot trading is typically 1:1. You put in one dollar to buy one dollar of assets. Perpetuals allow you to post margin to control a larger notional value. Leverage amplifies gains. It also amplifies the impact of minor price fluctuations. A 1% move on a 10x leveraged position is a 10% move on your equity. This mathematical reality forces traders to be precise with entry and exit points.

Liquidation Protocols

In spot trading, your paper value drops. You still hold the asset unless you sell. You cannot go into debt from price movement alone. In perps, if your margin falls below the maintenance requirement, the exchange liquidates your position. They forcibly close the trade to cover the loss. You lose your entire initial margin. In extreme volatility, slippage during liquidation can result in a negative balance. Exchanges often have insurance funds to cover this.

Who Should Avoid Perpetuals

Traders who cannot monitor the market actively should avoid perps. If you treat trading as a passive investment, perps introduce unnecessary tail risks. If you lack the discipline to set strict stop-losses, leverage will eventually bankrupt you. I recommend beginners stick to spot trading. Wait until you understand order book depth and market cycles. Perps are a tool for short-term speculation, not long-term holding.

Structural Traps

Several technical traps catch new users. Auto-Deleverage (ADL) occurs when the insurance fund is depleted. Profitable positions are closed to balance the books. Additionally, open interest can create crowded trades. Exit liquidity can vanish instantly in these scenarios. Finally, relying too heavily on liquidation data as support levels is a weak strategy. The market often hunts these liquidity pools.

Pre-Trade Checklist

Before opening a perpetual futures position, verify these parameters:

  • Leverage Tier: Is the leverage set to a level that survives a 3-5% wick?
  • Funding Rate: Is the current funding rate favorable to my direction?
  • Liquidation Price: Calculate exactly at what price the position terminates.
  • Maintenance Margin: Do I have enough collateral to avoid a margin call?

Calculate the exact liquidation price of a prospective trade before opening it. Do not rely on the exchange UI summary alone. Run the numbers yourself to verify your risk tolerance.

取引所

トップ取引所 — トレーダーのために厳選

現物取引と永久先物の仕組みとリスク比較